* 22 Nov: McVeigh2020 Re: Economica: The Demographic Depression Will Overwhelm Central Bankers Over The Upcoming Decade.
* Tygae: EoP Leg Sub: McVeigh2020 / EoP NWO SCO: EoP NTE GM: EoP NTE GMA| EoP Axis MilNec Evac: Lotto: EoP v WiP Law, EoP v WiP Academia, EoP v WiP Media, EoP v WiP Charity / EoP v WiP Neg.
Over the coming decade, the current growth based system and paradigms will fall by the wayside. The global trickle-down mantra is already failing, and will entirely come apart. The impact will be bad for wealthy nations but even worse for poor nations. The real question is what will replace the current faulty system…and will it be any better? Invest accordingly. – Economica: The Demographic Depression Will Overwhelm Central Bankers Over The Upcoming Decade; via Zero Hedge: Putting Monetization Into Perspective. Or “When It Becomes Serious, You Have To Lie”.
From Brazil to India to the United States, extractive industries have aligned themselves with authoritarian governments waging war on minority populations. A lesser known example of the Modi government’s Islamophobia is its campaign to strip Muslims of alleged Bangladeshi descent in the state of Assam of their Indian citizenship unless they can prove their citizenship — in a country where most people, especially the rural poor, don’t have birth certificates. Also excluded from the “citizens’ list” created by the Modi government are transgender people. The Indian government is now building camps to detain people who are stripped of their citizenship. Mass detention of a civilian population, usually based on their ethnic, religious, or other identity, fits the definition of concentration camps. – FPIF: Dig Beneath the World’s Far-Right Governments — You’ll Find Fossil Fuels.
Don’t fool yourself into believing that the Supreme Court will never again allow a wartime violation of civil rights like it did in allowing internment camps for Japanese-Americans during World War II, U.S. Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia warned law students at the University of Hawaii on Monday. Scalia said the nation’s highest court was wrong to uphold the internment of Japanese-Americans during World War II, but something similar could easily happen during a future conflict. – The Blaze: Justice Scalia: You Are ‘Kidding Yourself’ If You Think World War II-Style Internment Camps Will Never Happen Again.
In the [EoP or WiP] global race to the bottom on working conditions, the finishing line is [EoP SciCult Law responsible freedom land reform property ration] or [WiP] Bangladesh [Arbeid Macht Frei factory farm slaughterhouse [TeamSweat: Nike Sweatshops: Behind the Swoosh; CSpan: Nazi Concentration Camps; Stalin Labour Camps: 01.02.03]] – [EoP Amended] Steel City Scribblings: Why the West Hates Putin; Economics of Imperialism.
Economica: The Demographic Depression Will Overwhelm Central Bankers Over The Upcoming Decade: Comment [Not Yet Published by Moderator]: 22 Nov 2019: 22:24 hrs.
McVeigh 2020 Return to Steppe Aryan Eden Economy [mcveigh2020.com]. EoP v WiP Investing [eop-v-wip-investing.tygae.org.za]
Gimbutas noted the stable – no population & economic consumption growth – Steppe Aryan population: that a low tech agrarian village founded in 8000 BC was still a low tech agrarian village in 4000BC. This also allowed them to sustainably farm the land, and live in peace. There are no steppe Aryan palaces, no prisons, no mental institutions, no homeless and no unemployed. No harems; they didnt even have marriage, just as the Musou still today. Among whom, rape & murder are so rare they dont have words for it. – SQSwans: Day Brown: Proto Indo-European: 23 January 2017.
EoP TRC negotiations are documented at EoP Legal Submissions [eop-leg-sub.tygae.org.za]
The decelerating growth and/or outright decline of the working age population is clearly visible in every part of the world. This article details where the deceleration began and the extent of the decelerations / declines. The reason this is so important is that the majority of economic growth is driven by the rising demand represented by the growth of the working age population (and their increasing quantity of employed persons). But not just the rise of any population, but those of means, those with savings, and those with access to credit. This growth drives mega infrastructure projects, buildouts of supply chains, increased production, and ultimate rise in consumer demand. Absent that population growth (particularly among those with means) governments have been “building bridges to nowhere”, “building ghost cities”, providing “lower for longer”, ZIRP, NIRP, and monetizing debt, etc. etc. This is all ultimately a fools errand only worsening the ultimate reorganization. Why? The working age populations earn and spend about double of those on fixed incomes among the elderly populations. The working age populations are at full employment and little to no further growth in employment is possible (detailed, HERE). Elderly utilize little to no credit and focus on paying off their debts…thus despite low rates, money velocity will keep on tanking. The declining interest rates, rising debt, and ever greater centrally controlled markets are the flip-side of the charts I show below. The below charts all show the ten year change of the 20 to 65 year old population (and percentage change in that working age population divided by total working age population) versus the same for the 65+ year old populations. Deceleration and outright decline are the universal among all the charts. …… Over the coming decade, the current growth based system and paradigms will fall by the wayside. The global trickle-down mantra is already failing, and will entirely come apart. The impact will be bad for wealthy nations but even worse for poor nations. The real question is what will replace the current faulty system…and will it be any better? Invest accordingly. – Economica: The Demographic Depression Will Overwhelm Central Bankers Over The Upcoming Decade.
If we track the real growth of GDP minus the boost of federal debt (which must be repaid or serviced ad infinitum) we get the chart [PNG: Annual GDP Minus Total Federal Debt]. Simply put, organic US economic activity is declining and it is only ever greater unrepayable and ultimately unserviceable federal deficit spending providing the appearance of growth. – Zero Hedge: Putting Monetization Into Perspective. Or “When It Becomes Serious, You Have To Lie”.
Please find enclosed (a) EoP – End Babylon Law / End Civ / Climate & Ecological Emergency / Shut Down Babylon Ponzi Economy – UN Resolution [PDF Encl] to implement Ecology of Peace Scientific and Cultural law as international law; (b) Excerpts of Chris Clugston’s book Scarcity [PDF Encl] clearly detailing why Peak NNR – non-renewable natural resource – reality means there will be no industrial renewable energy economy Green New Deal.
» EoP Leg Sub: 04 Aug: McVeigh2020 Re: Why Central Banks Need to Step Up on Climate Crisis..
Chris Clugston’s Domestic (US) & Global NNR Scarcity Analysis is based upon his analysis of the criticality and scarcity associated with each of the 89 analyzed NNRs, using data from USGS, EIA, BEA, BLS, Fed, CBO, FBI, IEA, UN, World Bank, etc; and concludes in general that “absent some combination of immediate and drastic reductions in our global NNR utilization levels, … we will experience escalating international and intranational conflicts during the coming decades over increasingly scarce NNR‘s, which will devolve into global societal collapse, almost certainly by the year 2050.”
NNR’s at risk – i.e. years to global exhaustion of reserves – are: (a) Antimony: 8 yrs (used for starter lights ignition batteries in cars and trucks; (b) Bauxite: 40 years (only economically viable feedstock for aluminium); (c) Bismuth: 17 years (non-toxic substitute for lead in solder and plumbing fixtures); (d) Cadmium: 25 years; (e) Chromium: 26 years (stainless steel, jet engines and gas turbines); (f) Coal: 40 years (electricity generation); (g) Cobalt: 26 years (gas turbine blades, jet aircraft engines, batteries); (h) Copper: 27 years; (i) Fluorspar: 23 years (feedstock for fluorine bearing chemicals, aluminium and uranium processing); (j) Graphite (Natural): 23 years; (k) Iron Ore: 15 years (only feedstock for iron and steel); (l) Lead: 17 years; (m) Lithium: 8 years (aircraft parts, mobile phones, batteries for electrical vehicles); (n) Manganese: 17 years (stainless steel, gasoline additive, dry cell batteries); (o) Molybdenum: 20 years (aircraft parts, electrical contacts, industrial motors, tool steels); (p) Natural Gas: 34 years; (q) Nickel: 30 years; (r) Niobium: 15 years (jet and rocket engines, turbines, superconducting magnets); (s) Oil: 39 years; (t) Rhenium: 22 years (petroleum refining, jet engines, gas turbine blades); (u) Silver: 11 years; (v) Thalium: 38 years; (w) Tin: 18 years; (x) Tungsten: 32 years; (y) Uranium: 34 years (primary energy source, weapons); (z) Zinc: 13 years; (aa) Zirconium: 19 years (nuclear power plants, jet engines, gas turbine blades).
Scarcity concludes “Our Next Normal is Catastrophe”: Our AnthroCorpocentric worldview does not recognize that “from a broader ecological perspective, all human economics and politics are irrelevant,” to “paraphrase Thoreau, we are ‘thrashing at the economic and political branches of our predicament, rather than hacking at the ecological root.’”
“Because the underlying cause associated with our transition from prosperity to austerity is ecological (geological), not economic or political, our incessant barrage of economic and political “fixes” are misguided and inconsequential. Our national economies are not “broken”; they are “dying of slow starvation” for lack of sufficient economically viable NNR inputs.
“Our industrial lifestyle paradigm, which is enabled by enormous quantities of finite, non-replenishing, and increasingly scarce NNRs, is unsustainable, i.e. physically impossible – going forward.
“Global humanity‘s steadily deteriorating condition will culminate in self-inflicted global societal collapse, almost certainly by the year 2050. We will not accept gracefully our new normal of ever-increasing, geologically-imposed austerity; nor will we suffer voluntarily the horrifically painful population level reductions and material living standard degradation associated with our inevitable transition to a sustainable, pre-industrial lifestyle paradigm.
“All industrialized and industrializing nations, irrespective of their economic and political orientations, are unsustainable and will collapse in the not-too-distant future as a consequence of their dependence upon increasingly scarce NNRs.
We can voluntarily reduce population and consumption, or NNR scarcity depletion will force it upon us, in our inevitable transition to a sustainable, pre-industrial lifestyle paradigm.
As this scenario unfolds, increasingly large segments of humanity will become aware of the fact that NNRs enable our industrialized way of life, and that ever-increasing NNR scarcity is the fundamental cause underlying our continuously declining economic output (GDP) and societal wellbeing levels, both domestically (US) and, by that time, globally as well. Historically prevalent public attitudes of generosity and forbearance, which were made possible by abundant and cheap NNRs during our epoch of “continuously more and more”, will be displaced by public intolerance:
* Childbirth will be condemned rather than celebrated;
* All immigration will be outlawed;
* Traditionally unquestioned resource uses—from “social entitlements” and universally accessible healthcare, to professional sports and cosmetics—will be considered “unfair” or “wasteful”, and ultimately eliminated; and
* “Excessive wealth” will be appropriated for “the public good”.
Ultimately, the general public will become aware of the fact that our predicament has no solution; and the following “trigger” conditions for societal collapse will be met: NNR scarcity will become “disruptive”—the available mix and levels associated with economically viable NNRs and derived goods and services will become insufficient to enable “tolerable” day-to-day existence; and sufficiently large segments of society will:
* Become aware of the fact that ever-increasing NNR scarcity is a permanent phenomenon; &
* Acknowledge the fact that our predicament cannot be “fixed”; “continuously less and less”—continuously declining societal wellbeing—is our new reality.
Previously sporadic social unrest and resource wars will degenerate—seemingly instantaneously—into full fledged conflicts among nations, classes, and ultimately individuals for remaining natural resources and real wealth. It will become universally understood that the only way to “stay even” within a continuously contracting operating environment—much less to improve one’s lot—is to take from somebody else. Life will become a “negative sum game” within the “shrinking pie” of “continuously less and less”.
Social institutions will dissolve; law and order will cease to exist; and chaos will fill the void— nations will collapse.
» SQSwans: Chris Clugston; Scarcity: Humanity’s Last Chapter; Military Gospel: Kremlin: Vladimir Putin: NNR: Non Renewable Natural Resource Scarcity